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Systemic Analysis of the Adoption of Electric Vehicle Technologies in Colombia


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DOI: https://doi.org/10.15866/ireme.v11i4.11493

Abstract


In the new global economy, the transport system has become a central issue to the public policy design. This article presents a model of vehicle technology adoption that determines the probability of technology selection. A system dynamics and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) approach was used to analyze the adoption of electric vehicle technologies from the Colombian market. Previous research has tended to focus on environmental impact rather than the political, economic, and infrastructure one. The model considers the interaction of market share, political, and infrastructure variables that interact in the transport system. The study proves a novel approach related to modeling strategy, segmentation of the Colombian vehicular market, and results of market scenarios, including peace agreements, economic growth, and infrastructure. The results allow us to understand the relevance and impact of alternative policies on penetration of non-conventional technologies (electric vehicles) in Colombia.
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Keywords


Market Adoption Scenarios; Simulation; Electric Vehicles; Policy Assessment; System Dynamics; Analytic Hierarchy Process; Public Policy

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References


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